Market Volatility

Understanding Equity Market Volatility:

History, Perspective, and the Power of Long-Term Investing

Recent conflict in the Middle East has added new

uncertainties for equity investors. When record

highs continue to be exceeded and portfolios are

reaching new levels, it’s easy to forget that market

volatility is still possible and is very much a part of

stock investing. Sadly, when volatility resurfaces,

many investors begin to panic and sometimes

make rash and emotional decisions with their

portfolios.

Volatility in equities, in simple terms, means price

swings. The magnitude and speed of those price

changes determine how severe the volatility feels.

High volatility results in significant and rapid price

changes, while low volatility leads to more stable

and smaller price fluctuations.

Equity market volatility is often portrayed as

something to fear. Headlines are understandably

unsettling and incite anxiety, commentators

debate

endlessly,

and

investors

feel

the

emotional pull to “do something.” Yet volatility is

not an anomaly and experienced investors know it

is a normal and necessary feature of equity

investing. What experienced investors also know

is that a long-term investing strategy has been the

key to weathering short-term market volatility.

History can give us a valuable perspective on

volatility. Equity markets have navigated world

wars, recessions, inflation shocks, political

uncertainty, financial crises, and even global

pandemics. Yet over time, disciplined investors

with a long-term perspective have been rewarded

for their patience. In recent history, in early 2020,

markets dropped more than 30% in a short period

of time, only to recover and reach new highs

shortly thereafter. (Source: engaging-data.com)

And let’s not forget that during the Global

Financial Crisis, major indexes fell over 50%.

(Source: Federal Reserve History)

(252) 451-0488

www.StrategicFreedom.com

Anthony (Tony) Engrassia, ChFC, LUTCF, NSSA®

Certified Financial Fiduciary®

Each moment felt unprecedented. Each time,

markets eventually recovered. As Sir John

Templeton wisely said, “The four most dangerous

words in investing are: ‘This time it’s different.’”

As you can see from the chart that shows over 40

years of information from 1985 to 2025, every year

featured a drawdown or dip. However, by year-end

the S&P 500 finished up 34 out of 41 years (83% of

the time) despite these annual drawdowns.

Overall Strategy

One of the best ways to prepare for volatility is to

clearly understand your objectives and strategy.

We believe that a long-term investment strategy is

integral to successful financial planning. Focus on

your long-term investment goals rather than

reacting to short-term market movements. As we

noted earlier, over longer periods of time, equity

markets

have

traditionally

recovered

from

downturns.

Maintaining focus on your personal financial

goals should be your main priority. We strive to

craft a diversified, long-term financial plan with

clients that takes into consideration their time

horizon and risk tolerance. We also try to help

clients stay on track and avoid allowing temporary

fluctuations in the markets to divert them from

their long-term path. While this may sound easier

said than done, practicing patience can help you

become more resilient to volatility.

Constantly checking your investments, every hour

or every day, can increase your anxiety. Please

remember that investing for the long-term is never

a straight line, and being consumed by the daily

ups and downs can lead to increased concern. A

well-diversified portfolio can include positions

that can weather short-term volatility and still

allow the potential for long-term gains.

As the great investor Warren Buffett said, “If you

are not willing to own a stock for 10 years, don’t

even think about owning it for 10 minutes.”

Advantages of Market Volatility

Disciplined investors often view market declines

as opportunities. While market volatility can feel

risky, for a disciplined investor, it can create

opportunities.

Volatility

can

introduce

opportunities to accumulate equities at lower

prices. The key is having a plan, and good

emotional management. Here are a few ways you

could enhance your personal situation when

equities take a dip.

Add New Money into Retirement or Brokerage

Accounts to Buy Quality Assets at a Discount: If

you are in a financial situation that could allow you

to make new investments, buying stocks during a

market downturn can be a great way to potentially

increase your long-term returns.

Volatility often pushes prices down faster than

fundamentals change. Fear creates a temporary

price reduction and can create an opportunity for

long-term investors to buy high-quality assets at

lower valuations. For example, if a fundamentally

strong stock drops 20% during a market panic (but

the earnings outlook hasn’t changed), future

returns can improve because you bought that

position at a discount.

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Volatility improves the

effectiveness of consistent investing. When you

invest a fixed amount regularly, you can purchase

more shares when prices are low and fewer

shares when prices are high.

Rebalancing Your Portfolio: In volatile markets,

rebalancing means systematically restoring your

original asset allocation. This can be led by selling

high-performing

assets

and

buying

underperforming ones, which would enforce a

"buy low, sell high" discipline. This strategy is

intended to reduce portfolio risk and aligns

investments with long-term goals.

Tax Loss Harvesting: Strategic tax planning is

always a strong option and savvy investors know

that volatility could become a tax opportunity.

When

investments

decline,

investors

can

potentially sell at a loss and use the capital loss to

offset capital gains. This could provide an

opportunity to invest in a similar, but not the same

asset. For high-income investors, this has the

potential to improve after-tax returns.

What NOT to Do!

Seasoned investors understand that volatility is a

natural part of the investing journey and that

bumps in the road can and will occur. Those who

have experienced challenging periods of volatility

in their investing journey know that there are a

handful of strategies that can make these times

more manageable, as well as pitfalls that can

complicate the situation.

Emotional Decisions: While most investors

recognize the importance of time horizons and

risk tolerance, they sometimes overlook a crucial

factor:

human

emotion.

Even

the

most

experienced investors can be tempted to stray

from their long-term plans and become caught up

in the short-term fluctuations of the economic

environment. Allowing panic and doubt to

influence decision-making, and worrying about

aspects beyond one's control, can lead to rash

and poorly considered choices. You are the best

evaluator of how you react to potentially stressful

situations.

Timing the Market: It can be very tempting to take

money out of equities with the intention of

reinvesting, “when the time is right.” However,

attempting to time the market should not be a

primary strategy. It is nearly impossible to

determine when the perfect time is to get in and

out of the market. The challenge is that recoveries

tend to happen quickly and unpredictably.

Missing just a handful of the market’s strongest

days can significantly reduce long-term returns.

Peter Lynch notably said, “Far more money has

been lost by investors preparing for corrections…

than has been lost in corrections themselves.”

Time in the market continues to be more powerful

than timing the market.

Watching Too Much News: Minimizing your

exposure to media during periods of market

volatility can be one of the healthiest decisions

you make. Constant consumption of headlines

during uncertain times often increases stress and

anxiety

without

improving

decision-making.

Media

coverage

frequently

amplifies

fear,

presenting situations in a way that feels more

dramatic than the underlying fundamentals may

justify.

While you cannot control the news, you can

control how much information you consume—

and how you respond to it. It’s often said that

“perception is reality,” and media narratives can

shape perception in powerful ways. In many

cases, the primary objective is to capture

attention and drive viewership, not to provide

balanced long-term perspective.

Limiting media intake during turbulent periods

can help you maintain clarity and emotional

discipline. Tuning out the daily commentary and

focusing instead on your long-term strategy is

typically the most productive and rational path

forward.

Not Consulting a Professional: Seasoned

investors know that trying to navigate investment

decisions without consulting their financial

professional can pose an unnecessary obstacle

to pursuing their financial goals. Seeking guidance

during confusing times can help investors find the

best path to success with their hard-earned

money.

The Big Picture

Sometimes, the big picture can get lost when

the weeds start to become the focus. Our role is

to help you stay disciplined, informed, and aligned

with your long-term financial goals. We are closely

monitoring areas that may impact your financial

situation. If at any point you would like to discuss

your financial plan and review it to confirm it still

aligns with your goals, please contact us and we

would be happy to explore this with you.

We Will Help You Stay Informed

We believe that an educated client is the best

client. We want our clients to understand how

investments work. This includes volatility, so they

can better evaluate how to react to any daily

movements in the stock market. Our primary goal

as wealth managers is to assist our clients on their

financial journeys, which includes helping them

effectively manage volatility during uncertain

times. If you have any questions or concerns

about your portfolio, please feel free to reach out

to us. We would be happy to talk with you.

Additionally, we advise our clients to keep us

informed of any changes in circumstances, such

as health issues, shifts in retirement goals, or the

sale of a home. The more we know about their

unique situation, the better we can advise them.

A skilled financial professional can help

simplify your journey toward pursuing your

goals. By understanding your needs and

objectives, we can create a plan tailored to your

situation. We welcome the opportunity to take

a look at your financial situation and needs.

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Financial Planning and Advisory Services are offered through Prosperity Capital Advisors (“PCA”), an SEC registered investment advisor. Registration

as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill of training. Wealth Management Strategies and PCA are separate, non-affiliated

entities. PCA does not provide tax or legal advice. Sources: engaging-data.com; Creative Planning; Peter Mallouk; Federal Reserve History.

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